Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Week 1 Results

Week 1 Results

It’s the beginning of the year so you can’t expect to be 100 % right, If you followed me you would be currently down money but not a lot, thanks a lot Houston. But stick with me because you will be up at the end of the year I guaRANtee it.

Thursday Game Tennesee @ Pittsburgh. My pick Pittsburgh -5.5. Final Score 13-10 Pitt.

My prediction Ever since the NFL has had this Thursday night game for the champ first one being 2003 pats vs. raiders, the home team defending champ has won, and I haven’t looked it up but I think they all covered too, there is just too much emotions and stuff flowing through the stadium to take the road dog. Tennessee stomped on the towel last year which could cause bad blood. This should a great physical game; this has low scoring written all over it. Big Ben will have to throw the ball as they won’t be able to run on the titans”

The result was, it was a low scoring game and Big Ben had to throw like I said but they couldn’t quite cover. The streak for the champs winning continued, next year ill be picking the Champ again most likely. Pittsburgh can not run the ball.

Sunday:

My pick Atlanta -4.5 vs. Miami Final Score 19-7 Atl

My prediction “Very tough game to call here, I think the home field will be what I ultimately chose though won’t like it that much. Atlanta has to run the ball well to win and I think they do”

Ok so Atlanta did not run the ball well but I did get this game right so back off!! Miami looks pretty mediocre.

My Pick Cincinnati -3.5 vs. Denver Final Score: 12-7 Den

My Prediction : Denver never travels well to the east in the beginning of the year, I think the Bengals are getting Denver at a perfect time, there will be a lot of buzz this year for the Bengals, I don’t really know why but I think they pull this one off.

I was not way off here, I was right to question the buzz around the Bengals, the game as we all know had a crazy ending, but without that I still don’t cover so didn’t really make much of a difference.

My Pick Minnesota – 3.5 vs. Cleveland Final Score: 34-20 Minn

My Prediction: Brett vs. Mangini doesn’t seem to be getting any hype probably because favre is too busy trying to iron his wranglers to notice. This is the perfect team for Minnesota to open up against; they should be able to run the ball all over Cleveland.

I LOVED Minnesota here, as predicted they were able to run all over the browns, they didn’t even need a QB in this game, when you have Adrian Peterson manhandling guys after stopping mid run to throw someone around then continue, and then it is fair to say you can run all over them.

My Pick Jacksonville +6.5 vs. Indianapolis Final Score 14-12 Indy

My Prediction: Indy opened up terrible last year and probably learned their lesson, but Jacksonville seems to have their number, no bob sanders means a big day for my boy MJD. I think the colts pull off the victory but it’s going to be close.

I was pretty close here; my boy MJD did have a big game. Peyton came out good, but the team didn’t look that impressive. As usual these two teams play close games.

My Pick New Orleans -11.5 vs. Detroit Final Score 45-27 NO

My Prediction: This seems to be everyone's lock of the day, almost to the point where I don’t like it anymore because everyone likes it so much, but in the end its going to be a track meet, with Stafford starting his first game I don’t see them covering, barring a backdoor cover by a garbage TD I see saints rolling. It was a track meet,

there was almost a backdoor garbage TD (sorry John), this game was not as much of a blowout as the score, Det stayed in it for a while into this game, but brees’ 5th and 6th TD seem to do the trick.

My Pick Dallas -3.5 @ Tampa Bay Final Score: 34-21 Dallas

My Prediction: This is scaring me that I am picking all favorites. But I really want to pick Tampa here but I am having trouble convincing myself of doing so. I can see this being a low scoring game. But Tampa just fired their off cord. Vegas gives home teams 3 points so Vegas is saying Dallas is .5 better than TB, I think they can win by 5.

Ok didn’t see as much of a win as it was but I was way off on the low scoring part of my perdition. Good thing I didn’t go with my original thought and went with Tampa. Romo rolled, he is basically the A-Rod of football, and he can put up great numbers in September but then is non existent in December.

My Pick Philly +.5 vs. Carolina Final Score 38-10 Philly

My Prediction: Probably the toughest game of the week to pick, Jonathan Stewart is probably not going to be 100%, Philly is getting a lot of buzz around them, and I hate both coaches. I think Carolina comes off slow to start and Philly pulls it out.

I feel dumb looking back at this and saying this was the toughest game to call. I did not see an absolute blowout coming. Carolina did obviously come out to a slow start here, and are calling for their coach and their starting QBs head, never a good sign for a team that is expected to make some noise in the playoffs.

My Pick Baltimore -8.5 vs. Kansas City Final Score 38-24 Baltimore

My Prediction: I love Baltimore to win but there is a spread so the only problem is I know KC won’t score much but can Baltimore score enough to cover. I think they do and this game ends up being 23-3 or something along those lines.

Couldn’t be further off on anything except the predition, this game was close through out and two late scores allowed Baltimore to cover, a cassell less chiefs played pretty well through the air. Baltimore may have been looking ahead to San Diego in week 2.

My Pick Houston – 4.5 vs. NY Jets Final Score 24-7 Jets

My Prediction Sanchez in his first start combined with the jets D vs. the good/great O of the Texans makes this game a very intriguing matchup, I love the fact that Houston is home, there is just too much fire power to not win by 5.

The only thing I got right was the fact that Sanchez was indeed starting his first NFL game; I broke both ankles jumping off the Texans bandwagon. Houston did not expose any of their so called fire power; historically they struggle against 3-4 Defenses, something to keep in mind down the road. I still see Houston being one of the top offenses at the end of the year though.

My Pick Washington +6.5 vs. NY Giants Final Score 23-17 NYG

My Prediction: I think this is too high, these division games usually don’t end in blowouts; I think the giants will win but a late score from Washington prevents a cover from the g-men.

Finally, I couldn’t have gotten this more right, played out exactly as I thought it would.

My Pick Seattle -7.5 vs. St. Louis Final Score 28-0 Seattle

My Prediction: I love Seattle in this game, I think they will throw a lot this year and they can throw all over the rams

That about sums it up right there.

My Pick SF +6.5 vs. Arizona Final Score 20-16 SF

My Prediction: I have no idea which Arizona team will show up to play this game, the fact that is at Arizona helps, wonder if they can shake off the super bowl loss. Shaun Hill can put up points as well. I see the 49ers covering.

Well the crappy Arizona decided to show up. Warner looked old, and they were playing like the super bowl was the night before.

My Pick GB – 3.5 vs. Chicago Final Score 21-15 GB

My Prediction: Great classic game here, very tough to call, last year the bears went into the high powered indy and smoked them. Can they catch lightning again this year in week 1 I don’t think so.

Correct they did not catch lightning really the only catching going on for the bears was the GB DBs catching all of Jay’s passes. This game should have been a bigger blowout with the bears having so many turnovers.

My Pick Pats – 10.5 vs. Buffalo Final Score 25-24

My Prediction: I gotta count on a bill belichick FU td to cover this; I don’t see buffalo staying with the pats in this game, if there is good weather this has all the makings of a blowout.

Truth be told I needed more than 1 FU td to cover this, they were real lucky to win this game. Very exciting game to watch. Reminded me of the Baltimore and Philly games from 2007. But I was way off on my predictions, Brady looked shaky but sometimes it is better to be lucky than good.

My Pick San Diego -6.5 vs. Oakland Final Score 24-20 SD

My Prediction Oakland seems to be on national TV every week 1 and seemed to get smoked every time, San Diego puts up a ton of points here and wins by 24.

That is painful to read as SD needed a touchdown with 18 seconds left to beat them. Oakland showed up to play, so did my boy Richard Seymour.



Week 1

$100 2 team tease

Seattle -1.5
Baltimore -2.5

No brainer here I thought, that picked you up a cool 90.91.

Here is where the train comes off the tracks.

$50 2 team parlay

Minnesota -3.5 San Diego -6.5

Very close here, SD should have covered.

4 team money line parlay $ 100 (espn doesnt show money lines so sportsbook.com was used)

Seattle -400
Baltimore -800
Pats -700
Houston -230

Stupid Texans, this bet looked like a lock before the games started.

Ok if you followed me you put in 250 and you would be down. 59.09, but we will get this back.!!!


Stay Tuned for Week 2 picks/bets.

Live the Dream.

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